Canadian stocks are trading at a discount to U.S. stocks not seen in about 20 years.

That’s a big reason why Bank of America believes investors should be favouring stocks north of the border over their overheated U.S counterparts.


by with assistance by Erik Hertzberg, and Aoyon Ashraf

Investors seeking to capitalize on economic reopening should look north of the border for a cheaper alternative to the “frothy” S&P 500, according to strategists at Bank of America Corp.

Canada’s S&P/TSX Composite Index has plenty of exposure to commodities and cyclical companies, while also trading at its steepest discount to the U.S. benchmark since the tech bubble more than 20 years ago, equity strategists led by Ohsung Kwon told clients in a note.

The Canadian index trades at 17 times forward earnings, a two standard deviation discount to the S&P 500, BofA said.
The valuation gap “is overdone, especially when the composition of the TSX is much better positioned to benefit from the global economic recovery, which we believe is intact,” Kwon said, adding that a discount of that size is usually an omen of TSX outperformance.

BofA says U.S. stocks look frothy versus Canada

The TSX’s value-stock bias was tested after a rotation back into technology and high-growth stocks last week, though that move has cooled.

The TSX has risen about 16% this year, while the S&P 500 has advanced 13%.

Financial stocks, which are 31% of the Toronto index, have been driving the performance, rising nearly 21% this year.

Oil & gas equities have also surged as rising demand has pushed crude to more than $70 per barrel.